In a zone where predicting electoral outcome in anywhere in the country is becoming increasingly hazardous, Hyderabad-based political research organisation Peoples Pulse has accurately predicted the outcome of Himachal Pradesh and Gujarat elections

The People's Pulse conducted pre-poll surveys in both states, each ending ten days before polling. Therefore the last thrust of electioneering and associated developments could not be factored. A reputed organisation, CSDS-LokNiti post-poll survey in Gujarat found that 43 percent of the electorate had made up their mind during the final round of campaign, of which over half voted for the BJP. For any survey we up front state that the prediction inherently carries a (+ or – 3) percent margin of error. In both the states, Peoples Pulse surveys were well within this margin, claimed a release from the People's Pulse..

The release claimed that the People's Pulse had predicted 39-44 seats for the BJP, 19-24 for the Congress and 2-4 for others. It also predicted that the CPI(M) would find representation in the HP Assembly. The actual results showed 44 for the BJP, 21 for the Congress and three for the others. The CPI(M) did win a seat. The prediction of vote share was in tune with the actual result.

Coming to Gujarat, the People's Pulse released the vote share but refrained from predicting the number of seats, which the respective parties would win. The reason for this is the survey showed the BJP leading over the Congress within the margin of error. It said that it's research team has listed the 182 Assembly constituencies as ‘Sure Win’, ‘Edge’ or ‘Keen’. Of the 54 seats listed as ‘Sure Win’ for either party, 48 were on target. It claimed that it had predicted the BJP would do well in urban areas and the Congress is strong in rural areas. The survey predicted 44.8 per cent vote share for the BJP and 43.2 per cent for the Congress. The result had 49.1 percent for the BJP and 42.4 percent for the Congress.