P Sainath refutes CNN poll, says YS Jagan has edge over TDP

"I believe  Jagan is the person to beat in both Assembly elections and Parliament elections"

Noted Journalist P Sainath on Tuesday placed his bet on YS Jagan led YSR Congress Party to win both Assembly and Parliamentary elections in Seemandhra. Refuting poll conducted by CNN IBN which showed TDP having an edge over YSRCP, Sainath said YS Jagan was the man to watch out for. 

The poll conducted by CNN-IBN-CSDS-Lokniti election tracker, pointed out that Congress is in for major trouble, and has received no benefits with the bifurcation in either of the states. It also shows TDP having a slight edge over YSRCP.  

Historian Ramachandra Guha said that the survey pointed towards the "Modest resurrection" of TDP chief Chandrababu Naidu. 

The survey, drawing a comparison between 2009 polls and 2014 upcoming polls showed that Congress was down by 21 per cent from 30 per cent in 2009, when it was under former chief Minister YS Rajasekhara Reddy. On the other hand, TDP showed an increase from 25 per cent to 29 per cent.  

However refuting Guha's claims of 'Modest resurrection" and the survey both, Sainath said, "The decimation of Congress has been evident for a long time now." He added, it was seen in the by poll elections as well, before the bifurcation took place. 

He added, "I disagree with your poll." Polls have been, for a decade, consistently overestimating Chandrababu, he said.  "I believe  Jagan is the person to beat in both Assembly elections and Parliament elections," said the journalist pointing out that YS Jagan stands at a much stronger position than Chandrababu. 

Sainath also said that at this point election alliance game is extremely fluid.  

YSRCP rubbishes poll survey

Rubbishing the latest poll survey which was carried out by a national media house, YSR Congress said it has no sanctity and it seems to be conducted only to project TDP though a magnifying glass without going into the ground realities. 

“The size of the sample shows that the survey carried out by CNN-IBN-Lokniti-CSDS has taken a very small size and has taken up the exercise only to project TDP and Chandrababu Naidu. The credibility of the channel is at stake as the survey has many loopholes,” party senior leader MV Mysoora Reddy told reporters here on Wednesday. 

The survey has taken just 1,200 as sample size which is too small to carry out the exercise and psephologists would be aghast at the manner it was conducted. 

Nelson ORG Marg has earlier conducted a similar survey and has taken the sample size as 50,000 and has concluded that YSRCP wave is sweeping across the state. We are not supportive of one survey nor opposing the other but only questioning the rationale of the sample size of CNN-IBN survey, he said. 

“We are not against any surveys and we know the pulse of the people and the direction in which the wind is blowing and it is contrary to the survey figures and percentages.

We are forced to say that the survey is nothing but juggling of figures as it has given 14% of votes to others without specifying them The others in the fray are Jana Sena of Pawan Kalyan, who is not sure whether he would contest or not. Lok Satta, CPI and CPM all put together will come to 4.4 %. Where from the 14 % of others has come is not specified and it is superfluous as that much percentage swing would give a landslide victory,” he said.

The Party SC Cell Convenor, Nalla Suryaprakash, who also addressed the media, flayed TDP leader P Kesavulu for his highhanded behaviour against a dalit family in his constituency. The imminent defeat of TDP has brought in insecurity and restlessness among the party leaders; he said adding that no case was booked against the TDP leader for the attack. Dalits will not take things lying low like in Karamchedu and the consequences will be severe, he said.

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