Automation to dent 45 lakh jobs in India

Hyderabad: The holiday seems to be over for the Indian IT industry more particularly techies as the rising automation is expected shave off 10 percent of incremental jobs in the technology sector per annum. Half of middle-level managers would also bear the brunt in the era of artificial intelligence, according to TV Mohandas Pai, the former CFO and HR Head at Infosys.

He said: “I think in the IT sector, may be 10 percent minimum of incremental jobs that are created will disappear. That means every year if they do (create) 2 to 2.5 lakh jobs, 25,000-50,000 jobs will disappear.”

Middle-level managers account for 10 percent or 4,50,000 people of the 4.5 million (45 lakh) in the domestic IT industry. Half of them (2,25,000) would lose jobs over the next one decade as their work would get automated.

“There are today lots of people (middle-level managers) earning between Rs 30 lakh and Rs 70 lakh (per annum). Half of them will lose their jobs in the next ten years,” Pai said.

The tech investor said the new breed of IT engineers should have better skills and deep technical knowledge, adding, prospects for those having just a bachelors degree (B. Tech) are going to be less and less in IT.

Stressing that IT hiring would become more and more specialised with companies looking for higher and greater levels of expertise, Pai said he would recommend the aspirants to do masters (post-graduation).

“An ordinary B.Tech is like 10th standard today because you have to go ahead for the next 30 year,” the chairman of Manipal Global Education said.

“For lower-level jobs (entry-level), hiring will keep reducing by 10% every year. Ordinary graduates who are trained to go up the ladder will have less prospects. Out of the total number of people hired, fresher level doing ordinary work, there will be 10-15 per cent reduction in the category year-by-year,” he said.

But there will be 10-15 per cent increase in the category of masters (post-graduates) and skilled people because there is a great need for that, added Pai, a prominent angel investor.

He said automation, machine-learning (artificial intelligence) and robotics would create a new kind of specialised workforce.

“People who have got skills in artificial intelligence, machine learning and new coding languages like Python, Android and those in mobile area would do very well in the next five years,” he pointed out.

Only 2 lakh-2.5 lakh IT engineers out of the total 6.5 lakh who come to the market every year get jobs in their chosen field.

“Many of the engineers who come out of bad colleges.. there are good jobs like Ola and Uber waiting for them. I am not joking. In Bengaluru, many of the software engineers are giving up their jobs and driving Ola and Uber and making more money. It’s much more lucrative. Why work for 14 hours a day (in an IT company) and earn (only) Rs 3.5 lakh (per annum), when you can earn Rs six lakh to Rs 7 lakh (per year) driving a car?” he said.

Paid further said that people who have got skills in artificial intelligence, machine learning and new coding languages like Python, Android and those in mobile area would do very well in the next five years.

The Head of Aarin Capital Partners said Indian IT companies are ahead of the curve as far as automation is concerned and “they are winning the battle.”

“Five of the top 10 globally competitive (IT) service companies are Indian,” added Pai.

Source: PTI